Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.263269 0.355111 0.462540 0.595485 0.753573 0.933602 1.152113
2026-01-18 0.138322 0.241985 0.384268 0.584494 0.849611 1.179595 1.611926
2026-01-25 0.074699 0.174416 0.335625 0.590780 0.960405 1.453428 2.136648
2026-02-01 0.035229 0.118245 0.280002 0.568537 1.023237 1.667869 2.604366
2026-02-08 0.018979 0.092285 0.261689 0.594949 1.154922 1.984644 3.230415
2026-02-15 0.008555 0.067731 0.234194 0.596719 1.245149 2.246406 3.795352
2026-02-22 0.004599 0.057609 0.232526 0.643182 1.410525 2.628900 4.551301
2026-03-01 0.002007 0.046586 0.222887 0.670599 1.544499 2.970133 5.262279
2026-03-08 0.000586 0.035191 0.205282 0.676221 1.638538 3.252389 5.896551
2026-03-15 0.000070 0.024680 0.182440 0.663482 1.695372 3.475865 6.449241
2026-03-22 0.000002 0.018867 0.171670 0.675855 1.799154 3.779746 7.134797
2026-03-29 NaN 0.013729 0.158539 0.678408 1.882505 4.052053 7.779333
2026-04-05 NaN 0.008496 0.137781 0.655707 1.914413 4.242472 8.309662
2026-04-12 NaN 0.005111 0.121038 0.638934 1.956012 4.451294 8.877194
2026-04-19 NaN 0.003337 0.112037 0.643051 2.042441 4.742977 9.588174
2026-04-26 NaN 0.001633 0.096026 0.618128 2.060672 4.911879 10.103104
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001178 0.094877 0.645464 2.200885 5.309275 11.006785
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000628 0.087499 0.646988 2.280156 5.596582 11.734322
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000546 0.091773 0.695980 2.477010 6.110829 12.855028
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000369 0.091178 0.724868 2.626774 6.540910 13.842922
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000173 0.085547 0.730757 2.720098 6.866802 14.661438
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000045 0.076356 0.717267 2.763129 7.097273 15.322106
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000013 0.073102 0.730330 2.874822 7.464000 16.224183